9 July 2014
In some countries, a region that can lay claim to being the birthplace of a country’s political leader is likely to get preferential treatment – bias that shines out when the intensity of night lights is compared with that in other regions.
This new approach to pinpointing regional favouritism has been developed by researchers from Monash University and the University of St Gallen. Using information on the birthplaces of political leaders in 126 countries, and satellite data on night-time light intensity from 38,427 subnational regions from 1992-2009, they established a strong relationship between light intensity and regional GDP.
Dr Paul Raschky from the Monash Centre for Development Economics and Sustainability said previous research had confirmed the connection between economic activity and light generated at night. But relating night-time light intensity to information about the birthplaces of politicians gave new insights into what determines regional favouritism.
“Our results suggest that being the leader’s birthplace increases night-time light intensity and regional GDP by around four and one per cent respectively,” Dr Raschky said.
Thelarge sample of countries in the study included both democracies and autocracies.
Zaire’s former dictator Mobutu Sese Seko provided an extreme example of the phenomenon, Dr Raschky said. Mobutu had bank accounts and properties all over the world, but spent his money most lavishly in his remote hometown of Gbadolite.
“Mobutu built a huge palace complex costing millions of dollars, luxury guesthouses, an airport capable of handling Concords, and had the country's best supply of water, electricity and medical services,” Dr Raschky said.
“The satellite imagery over the Gbadolite region clearly showed the rise of Mobutu, starting off with very little night-time light intensity through to extremely high levels during his reign, then easing off once he was no longer in power.”
Similar effects were noted elsewhere, with any benefits gained by favoured regions unlikely to be sustained beyond a change in government. Inevitably, such favouritism was most common in countries with weak political institutions and poorly educated citizens.
“Sound political institutions and education are socially desirable and help keep political leaders accountable,“ Dr Raschky said.
“We demonstrate their importance in constraining regional favouritism. The enforcement of term limits also seems to be a crucial aspect.”
The researchers also looked at the effect of regional favouritism on the distribution of foreign aid and oil rents.
“Our findings suggest that donor agencies need to be very cautious when supporting countries with authoritarian leaders because such leaders mainly use foreign aid to the benefit of themselves, their family and clan members, and others living in their stronghold,” Dr Raschky said.
He hopes his new approach will aid future research on regional favouritism and the political economy of regional development.
The research has been published in Quarterly Journal of Economics.
For more information contact Glynis Smalley, Monash Media & Communications + 61 3 9903 4843 or 0408 027 848.